{"id":449,"date":"2026-03-26T21:00:33","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T21:00:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/winneronline.net\/au\/?page_id=449"},"modified":"2026-09-29T02:53:37","modified_gmt":"2026-09-29T02:53:37","slug":"craps-odds-probability","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/winneronline.net\/nz\/casino-games\/craps\/craps-bets-odds\/craps-odds-probability\/","title":{"rendered":"Craps Odds & Probability"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Craps Odds and Probability: Mastering the Math of the Dice<\/h1>\n\n\n

Regulatory information reviewed 29 September 2026:<\/strong> Earlier unsupported claims about New Zealand licensing, mandatory features or guaranteed protections have been removed. For current rules and licensing status, consult the Department of Internal Affairs<\/a>. A licence, review or badge does not guarantee a win or eliminate gambling harm. Support information<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

The Probability of Rolling Each Total<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The “Curve of Seven” is the most important concept in craps. Since there are more ways to roll a 7 than any other number, it is the center point of all craps math.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Total<\/strong><\/td>Combinations<\/strong><\/td>Probability<\/strong><\/td>True Odds<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/thead>
2<\/strong><\/td>(1+1)<\/td>2.78%<\/td>35 to 1<\/td><\/tr>
3<\/strong><\/td>(1+2, 2+1)<\/td>5.56%<\/td>17 to 1<\/td><\/tr>
4<\/strong><\/td>(1+3, 2+2, 3+1)<\/td>8.33%<\/td>11 to 1<\/td><\/tr>
5<\/strong><\/td>(1+4, 2+3, 3+2, 4+1)<\/td>11.11%<\/td>8 to 1<\/td><\/tr>
6<\/strong><\/td>(1+5, 2+4, 3+3, 4+2, 5+1)<\/td>13.89%<\/td>6.2 to 1<\/td><\/tr>
7<\/strong><\/td>(1+6, 2+5, 3+4, 4+3, 5+2, 6+1)<\/td>16.67%<\/strong><\/td>5 to 1<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
8<\/strong><\/td>(2+6, 3+5, 4+4, 5+3, 6+2)<\/td>13.89%<\/td>6.2 to 1<\/td><\/tr>
9<\/strong><\/td>(3+6, 4+5, 5+4, 6+3)<\/td>11.11%<\/td>8 to 1<\/td><\/tr>
10<\/strong><\/td>(4+6, 5+5, 6+4)<\/td>8.33%<\/td>11 to 1<\/td><\/tr>
11<\/strong><\/td>(5+6, 6+5)<\/td>5.56%<\/td>17 to 1<\/td><\/tr>
12<\/strong><\/td>(6+6)<\/td>2.78%<\/td>35 to 1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Low-Edge Fundamental Bets<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

These are the safest bets for a long-term session in Aotearoa:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • Don’t Pass \/ Don’t Come:<\/strong> 1.36%<\/strong> House Edge.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Pass Line \/ Come:<\/strong> 1.41%<\/strong> House Edge.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Place 6 & 8:<\/strong> 1.52%<\/strong> House Edge.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    High-Edge Proposition Bets<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

    These “one-roll” bets are exciting but carry a heavy cost. In 2026, we recommend these only for small “fun” wagers:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n
    • The Field:<\/strong> 2.78%<\/strong> to 5.56%<\/strong> (depending on the 2\/12 multiplier).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Any Craps:<\/strong> 11.11%<\/strong> House Edge.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Any Seven:<\/strong> 16.67%<\/strong> House Edge. (Statistically the worst bet on the table).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

      The Zero-Edge Advantage: Taking Odds<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n
        \n
      • Why it\u2019s unique:<\/strong> The casino has a 0.00% House Edge<\/strong> on this bet. They make no profit on it.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • The Payouts:<\/strong> If the point is 4 or 10, it pays 2:1<\/strong>. If it’s 5 or 9, it pays 3:2<\/strong>. If it’s 6 or 8, it pays 6:5<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • The 2026 Strategy:<\/strong> By maximizing your “Odds” bet and keeping your “Pass Line” bet at the table minimum, you can lower the overall house edge of your total money to below 1%<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Craps Odds and Probability: Mastering the Math of the Dice Regulatory information reviewed 29 September 2026: Earlier unsupported claims about New Zealand licensing, mandatory features or guaranteed protections have been removed. For current rules and licensing status, consult the Department of Internal Affairs. A licence, review or badge does not guarantee a win or eliminate […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":435,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"page-without-title.php","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-449","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"yoast_head":"\nCraps Odds & Probability NZ 2026 | Mathematical Guide<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Master the math of craps in NZ. 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